by
James L. Morrison
[Note: This is a re-formatted manuscript that was originally published in
On the Horizon, 1994, 1(3), 3-4. It is posted here with permission
from Jossey Bass
Publishers.]
With this edition we inaugurate two new sections: Trend Analysis and
Commentary. Magdalena Rood, editor of AERA's Special Interest Group
in Futures Research and Strategic Planning Interactive Newsletter,
will write the trend analysis section. She has been conducting a Delphi project
with AERA SIG members on trends and issues facing education. Beginning with this
edition, she will inform us of the panel's analysis of the research, policy and
practice implications of key trends and issues, and will, thereby, illustrate
the usefulness of this analytical technique.
In the commentary section, as with our lead article, we will print essays on
potential developments on the horizon that may affect colleges and universities.
We want these essays to be thought-provoking and provocative. Our commentators
may disagree. For example, in this edition, Wally Albers (like Ian Wilson in our
December edition) argues for increased ties between colleges and universities
and businesses, while Chris de Winter-Hebron argues that such ties may lead to
conditions that threaten academic freedom. And what could be more provocative
than Arnold Brown's (in whose office no computer can be found) argument to
beware the technological bandwagon!
No one took up my challenge in the December edition to nominate key issues
facing higher education. In each subsequent edition, we want to include an issue
brief on a critical issue. Each brief will consist of a statement of the issue,
its background, its location on the "life-cycle" (i.e., the cycle beginning with
a faint signal giving rise to social expectations about the issue that then may
get on the political agenda leading to legislative requirements and
social/political control), and recommended courses of action for educational
leaders.
Like our section on trend analysis, issue briefs are important components in
issues management. Bill Ashley and I will conduct a seminar on issues management
for North Carolina community college presidents in the UNC-CH Institute for
Academic and Professional Leadership's executive management program next month.
With the permission of seminar participants, I will list the issues raised by
them in the April edition. We will begin our issue section with a brief on one
of these issues. (Or on an issue that you nominate. The challenge remains!)
Issues management is an effective tool that you can use to anticipate
potential problems or opportunities, thereby gaining more lead time to position
your organization in a turbulent environment. If you would like to know more
about this tool, consider attending a preconference workshop on issues
management that Bill and I will present at the July meeting of the World Future
Society. If you would like to know more about other tools and techniques of
anticipatory management, consider attending the global change seminar
cosponsored by the UNC-CH Program in Educational Leadership and King Alfred's
College, Winchester, this summer on their campus, one hour from London. Please
call or write me for details. |