Table of Contents
PPT Slide
PPT Slide
Strategic Intelligence
Agenda
Change Drivers
Older Americans to Experience Fastest Growth (1990 to 2000)
Distribution of US. Population by Race and Origin (1900-2050)
Immigration
The Enrollment Pipeline
An Aging Clientele for Higher Education
Impact of Continuing Education for the Workforce
Supply and Demand
Implications
Economic
Globalization
Economic
Percent of Firms Downsizing by Business Category
During the decade of the 80’s, 46% of the companies listed in the “Fortune 500” disappeared.
The Department of Labor estimates that by the year 2000 at least 44% of all workers will be in data services (e.g., gathering, processing, retrieving, or analyzing information).
From 1980 to 1994, the U.S. contingent workforce—temps, self-employed, consultants—increased 57%
Fading are the 9-5 workdays, lifetime jobs, predictable, hierarchical relationships, corporate culture security blankets, and, for a large and growing sector of the workforce, the workplace itself (replaced by a cybernetics “workspace”).
Constant training, retraining, job-hopping, and even career-hopping will become the norm.
Today, 65% of all workers use some type of information technology in their jobs. By 2000, this will increase to 95%.
Implications
Technology
Students can no longer prepare bark to calculate problems. They depend instead on expensive slates. What will they do when the slate is dropped and breaks?
Students depend on paper too much. They no longer know how to write on a slate without getting dust all over themselves. What will happen when they run out of paper?
Students depend too much upon ink. They no longer know how to use a knife to sharpen a pencil.
Students depend too much on store bought ink. They don’t know how to make their own. What will happen when they run out?
àÍÌ
ˆÖË
ˆÖË
PPT Slide
$Í
PPT Slide
What Lies Ahead in Technology
The cost of computing power drops roughly 30% every year, and microchips are doubling in performance power every 18 months.
You give the birthday kid a Saturn, made by Sega, the gamemaker. It runs on a higher-performance processor than the original 1976 Cray supercomputer.
Today’s average consumers wear more computing power on their wrists than existed in the entire world before 1961.
In 1991, companies spent more money on computing and communications gear than the combined monies spent on industrial, mining, farm, and construction equipment.
Today, 65% of all workers use some type of information technology in their jobs. By 2000, this will increase to 95%.
PPT Slide
PPT Slide
ð¡Í
I very much doubt that we’re the only family on the block without a Web page.
Signals of Change On the Horizon
Signals
Signals
Signals
Signals
Signals
Signals
What do these signals imply for effective organization and functioning of leading edge institutions in the 21st century?
Summary
|
Author: James Morrison
Email: morrison@unc.edu
Home Page: http://horizon.unc.edu/horizon/
Download presentation source
|